Ding-ding, we have a winner. Sleestak, you solved it. Huge thanks!
In the setup > Pedal calibration function, it would appear that the curve of the modifier assigned to the pedal in the currently selected preset has, very surprisingly, an effect on the calibration (!!!)
I selected an empty preset (therefore no curve, no modifier, nothing assigned to the pedal) and now it calibrates properly as it should.
I'm baffled that the calibration process would even have awareness of a preset, let alone curves on modifiers, but...
Anyways, thanks, now I'm good to go (though somewhat mystified).