Goldman Sachs Sunday Emergency Conference Call:
150M in US will become infected.
2% will die = 3M deaths.
Yikes.
150M in US will become infected.
2% will die = 3M deaths.
Yikes.
I saw 2 different doctors on the news, Fox and 1 other, both said it WAS transmittable airborne, like coughing, sneezing.
Looks like the figures are from a leaked copy of a meeting held on Thursday. I would assume they would not have baked in the response that has happened since then.Goldman Sachs Sunday Emergency Conference Call:
150M in US will become infected.
2% will die = 3M deaths.
Yikes.
Looks like the figures are from a leaked copy of a meeting held on Thursday. I would assume they would not have baked in the response that has happened since then.
I think we are at a very different place as compared to last Thursday, both from a public awareness and administrative response perspective.
what do they say about history repeating?Geez
could be lack of work units that we discussed above. or maybe some are running the high CPU vs Low. i think you have to finish the work unit fully to get "credit" for it. not sure, but read it in passing perhaps.I looked at my folding stats for the first time since I installed it when this thread opened. I see I have contributed only 0.05% of the forum's output, which is a bit disappointing. Does that mean I am lazy or that you all are awesome?
I would expect the mortality numbers to change if the same infections were spread over a longer period of time.the response will mainly affect the timing, not the total numbers
They're just cheating, they consider death caused by coronavirus only those which didn't have pre-existing pathologies. With that standard Italy has only 2 deaths.
My brother in law and his fam came over yesterday uninvited, and gave me the whole “the flu’s way worse” spiel. Wanted to kick him out but wtf could I do, he's the BiL and he was already fking in the house sharing a meal by that point.My parents as well as my wife’s parents just aren’t taking this seriously so they’re not allowed to come over and we’re not going there for our usual visits. I worry about them a lot but aside from the talks where I have stressed the importance, there isn’t much else I can do.
Tried it, it looks like it only sets up test appt for people who've had known direct contact with confirmed infected people or who've traveled overseas. Very limited testing availability still.For those in the Bay Area in San Mateo or Santa Clara county this may be of interest...
https://www.projectbaseline.com/study/covid-19/
This is apparently the site Trump was talking about Google working on a few days ago. Turns out it's not a nationwide thing at this time. smh
How would letting people know 2M would die direct the panic in their favor?I wouldn't trust a word of what Goldman Sachs has to say in particular. Their sole purpose in life is to make money, which they can do more easily if they can direct the panic.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/16/lower-coronavirus-death-rate-estimates/
As mentioned before, the high death rate of Italy is explained when you normalize the confirmed case pool with Italy's population age distribution. Germany, I dunno.Death rate is much lower in the US than in Italy as well at the same point in the exponential curve. The percentage of severe cases is way lower, too. In fact, by these two metrics Italy appears to be an insane outlier compared even to China. Germany seems to also be an outlier but in the other direction: very few deaths, and very few serious cases.
Tried it, it looks like it only sets up test appt for people who've had known direct contact with confirmed infected people or who've traveled overseas. Very limited testing availability still.
The response is staggering - major shutdowns will prevent this being anywhere near the worst-case you're hearing about.
On our slightly larger island, we seem to be no better off and have learned nothing from international lessons.as expected, my state's press conference said NOTHING. no specifics. "work together." if you're sick stay home. this is OLD info.
currently my state is only testing people who have had contact with a COVID case. irritating!
we had our first community spread reported today. not sure how that person broke through the testing barrier. tested last wednesday, no word if she continued work or stayed home after that. results yesterday (sunday).
ughghgh i'm so pissed. my state is saying they may have plans within 30 days of how to combat this. my god.
There’s a big difference between pneumatic and airborne transmission, mainly due to droplet/particle size. Coughing and sneezing is pneumatic. If you sneeze in a room the droplets fall to the floor, or stick to surface, but the air clears. If you walk into a room with measles then the air is infected for hours.I saw 2 different doctors on the news, Fox and 1 other, both said it WAS transmittable airborne, like coughing, sneezing.