I don’t think I’d extrapolate an exponential equation on mean-basis even when drunk.Note to self: Never post when drunk.
The infection rate is exponentially increasing ! The day the first person died, it was 1 death per day. That does not equate to 30 deaths per month or 365 deaths annually.Coronavirus toll per month is about 1,550 death worldwide so multiply that by 12 and sum a 50% extra and still it does not come near seasonal flu numbers, yet.
Me, too! I have it running on a home desktop and my music laptop, which I only use when I am working on music stuff, so 95% of the time, it will be processing this folding algorithm - 24/7!i just like seeing my number go up!
Seasonal flu kills 291,000 to 646,000 people worldwide each year, according to a new estimate that's higher than the previous one of 250,000 to 500,000 deaths a year.
The big question is how many people will die from covid-19 this year?
now, in some places.The big question is: regardless of the statistical comparisons between flu and COVID-19, how long will it take until the hospitals are collapsed and people with other neccesities, from a child-birth to chemotherapy, surgery or road accidents, suffers or dies because they cannot be attended?
Do all the regions have the capacity to build emergency hospitals as fast as they did in Wuhan?
It is not about the statistics at the end of the year, it is about the medical capacity to respond to a peak of cases
The infection rate is exponentially increasing !
A planeful of Chinese COVID-19 experts and 30 tons of medical supplies has arrived in Italy
This is more positive than the blame-game and the stupidity of calling the virus "foreign"
https://www.good.is/a-planeful-of-c...tons-of-medical-supplies-has-arrived-in-italy
Your point is that we have over a centuries worth of data on flu and that the first serious outbreak of coronavirus is just making it's way around the world so there is absolutely no meaningful comparisons to be made.
Hopefully (fingers crossed) this is the start of recovery for you. Please keep us nom-Italian speakers posted about how things are there.In the meantime it seems the contagion is slowing down here, the doubling time of the number of deaths went from 2.4 days to 3.4 days in the last few days.
Obviously it's too early to say it's true and we have to wait a few more days to be sure it's not just a fluctuation.