Axe FX 4

Business idea: Use CAD to design a fractal logo waffle pattern, 3D print it to make a high temp proof cast from it, smelt some iron, poor it into the cast. Get @WKSmith to design the grill power and "tube amp" waffle interface giving a view of the warm tube-like glow of the heating elements. 3D print the "amp" shell cast and other components as needed for that design. Send it all to WK to put together. Iterate as desired to improve the design, V2, V3 ...

It'll sell like fractal hotcakes!
@FractalAudio @Admin M@ new merch idea!
 
Sort out the distinction between block types and block presets in the type menus
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-ADAT I/O
-AAX/AU/VST3 versions of Edit

No audio driver required (optional). Recall and automation provided through Edit (USB).

Eight heavenly channels of some of the damn-finest effects known to man from within DAW of choice.

Re-amping a breeze, too. (<-- multiple simultaneous even)
 
Off the top of my head:

Bluetooth for mobile device app
USB host port for midi control or USB stick storage
Selectable output sample rate
I/O routing matrix
Treat CPU as a pooled resource so there are no limits on the number of each block type in a preset
A more flexible IR system that doesn't reference IR slot numbers in presets, thus making it possible to reorganize IRs
Bidirectional MIDI so controllers can reflect parameter values when a preset is loaded
Eliminate the constraint of a fixed number of columns in the grid
Sort out the distinction between block types and block presets in the type menus
.
.
.


IMHO though, a key area that deserves attention is workflow: For one example, there's a whole host of things related to managing presets: Organize into folders, notes and comments, favorites, ratings, tags, similarity searching, searching on attributes of a preset, locking parts of a preset when browsing, boolean expressions, treat the computer as a storage location for the library of presets, etc.
+on-board Blocks Library access.
 
Off the top of my head:

Bluetooth for mobile device app
USB host port for midi control or USB stick storage
Selectable output sample rate
I/O routing matrix
Treat CPU as a pooled resource so there are no limits on the number of each block type in a preset
A more flexible IR system that doesn't reference IR slot numbers in presets, thus making it possible to reorganize IRs
Bidirectional MIDI so controllers can reflect parameter values when a preset is loaded
Eliminate the constraint of a fixed number of columns in the grid
Sort out the distinction between block types and block presets in the type menus
.
.
.


IMHO though, a key area that deserves attention is workflow: For one example, there's a whole host of things related to managing presets: Organize into folders, notes and comments, favorites, ratings, tags, similarity searching, searching on attributes of a preset, locking parts of a preset when browsing, boolean expressions, treat the computer as a storage location for the library of presets, etc.
Excellent, well thought-out list.
 
External power supply (...ala vp4) to eliminate ground loops with real world hardware amps and their fx loops. That thing is brilliant!!
 
External power supply (...ala vp4) to eliminate ground loops with real world hardware amps and their fx loops. That thing is brilliant!!
Haven't seen it yet, but I trust you!

If its beefy/over-rated... and manufactured at a (surplus-building) ratio of say... 1.15:1 to start... heck ya!!!
 
Axe FX is a rack unit and has tons of power already for any practical purpose. I’m not sure what would really be selling point upgrades for it at this point. I’d rather have the current unit be upgraded continuously until it’s no longer able to keep up with customer demands. I could see FM9 and FM3 being upgraded with UI changes before the Axe, the changes on the VP4 make it much easier to use. I’d like to see upgraded FC controllers with screens instead of a whole new axe unit.
 
Axe FX is a rack unit and has tons of power already for any practical purpose. I’m not sure what would really be selling point upgrades for it at this point. I’d rather have the current unit be upgraded continuously until it’s no longer able to keep up with customer demands. I could see FM9 and FM3 being upgraded with UI changes before the Axe, the changes on the VP4 make it much easier to use. I’d like to see upgraded FC controllers with screens instead of a whole new axe unit.
I agree. CPU doesn't seem to be a limiting factor. We are not at a point yet where suddenly the Axe3 can only run one amp block and the FM3/9 are left behind.

The other thing to consider, Fractal have a good eco-system now covering all the major price points including that close to £1k entry point. You have to assume the FM3 and FM9 are strong sellers, possibly now the bigger chunk of revenue for Fractal. If a IV came out that put the entire line into Legacy category, that's a lot of future revenue potentially lost to Line 6 - I can't see a whole new range of devices come out replacing the FM3/9 and Axe3 at the same time. Why do that when CPU/hardware is not currently a limiting factor.

I reckon there's a few things that make more sense, keeping the current line, but boosting some sales:

  • FM3 Turbo XL with the FM9 dual core CPUs, but retaining the same FM3 form factor and sitting at a price point midway between the 3 and 9.
  • AxeFX III Studio, a proper desktop solution that's got the AxeIII internals behind a large touch screen - a hybrid of the current Axe interface with touch controls for navigating. Honestly, I like my III tucked under my monitor, controlled by Axe Edit though, so I am happy with my rack format MKII. This though would add an ease-of-use option that scares some folk away.
  • AxeFX III Mk III with 1.5ghz CPUs and some of the hardware tweaks some of the pros in this thread seek. Maybe with an option to connect an iPad app (with the AxeFx III Studio UI to control it).
 
Axe FX is a rack unit and has tons of power already for any practical purpose. I’m not sure what would really be selling point upgrades for it at this point.

As you can see from the list I posted, there are important features the Axe-FX lacks due to hardware limitations of I/O and memory, not just cpu power.

Regarding cpu power though, there are still constraints imposed on the amp modeling due to limited cpu. The modeling is obviously excellent and any improvements in accuracy at this point will necessarily be minor, but the fact is Cliff is constantly working to improve the modeling accuracy and more cpu power would make his quest easier.
 
As you can see from the list I posted, there are important features the Axe-FX lacks due to hardware limitations of I/O and memory, not just cpu power.

Regarding cpu power though, there are still constraints imposed on the amp modeling due to limited cpu. The modeling is obviously excellent and any improvements in accuracy at this point will necessarily be minor, but the fact is Cliff is constantly working to improve the modeling accuracy and more cpu power would make his quest easier.
A huge +1 to this! More CPU power would be a very welcomed thing......especially when using some of the more power hungry drives.
 
As you can see from the list I posted, there are important features the Axe-FX lacks due to hardware limitations of I/O and memory, not just cpu power.

Regarding cpu power though, there are still constraints imposed on the amp modeling due to limited cpu. The modeling is obviously excellent and any improvements in accuracy at this point will necessarily be minor, but the fact is Cliff is constantly working to improve the modeling accuracy and more cpu power would make his quest easier.

This makes me really curious what the amp modeling and amp modeling alone would look like if Cliff had unlimited CPU power. I wonder what the last remaining constraints are, in his eyes.
 
a user interface like the Behringer Wing Rack would be something for an Axe IV...and editor via bluetooth
 
there are important features the Axe-FX lacks due to hardware limitations
I don’t know if I’d say these are ‘important’ features. Sure, upgrades are welcome but im not sure anything you listed would move the needle enough to warrant making the current unit a previous gen. I certainly wouldn’t want to make my Axe 3 mkii turbo, which has insane amounts of CPU, a second class system in exchange for the upgrades you listed. I think the refresh cycles will start getting longer. If we’re going to have Axe 4 for 6-10 years I think the new features it carries should justify that.
 
I don’t know if I’d say these are ‘important’ features. Sure, upgrades are welcome but im not sure anything you listed would move the needle enough to warrant making the current unit a previous gen. I certainly wouldn’t want to make my Axe 3 mkii turbo, which has insane amounts of CPU, a second class system in exchange for the upgrades you listed. I think the refresh cycles will start getting longer. If we’re going to have Axe 4 for 6-10 years I think the new features it carries should justify that.
That’s the beauty of Fractal products…..an Axe III will not lose one bit of its insane power if you choose not to get a IV when they come out. As for me, I say bring it on…there’s plenty of things that will surpass the current offerings.
 
I don’t know if I’d say these are ‘important’ features. Sure, upgrades are welcome but im not sure anything you listed would move the needle enough to warrant making the current unit a previous gen. I certainly wouldn’t want to make my Axe 3 mkii turbo, which has insane amounts of CPU, a second class system in exchange for the upgrades you listed. I think the refresh cycles will start getting longer. If we’re going to have Axe 4 for 6-10 years I think the new features it carries should justify that.

Opinions vary. Tone will always be of paramount importance, but with so many amp sims having excellent tone these days, other features, like the ones I listed, will IMHO become increasingly important to remain competitive in the years ahead. Whether Axe-FX III owners would be happy having their existing Axe-FX supplanted by a newer model may not enter into the decision. There were many people content with the Axe-FX II when the III was introduced.
 
I asked ChatGPT, probably I don't understand everything, but here is the result:

Based on Fractal Audio's historical release patterns and their current product roadmap, a new flagship product (e.g., an Axe-Fx IV) is most plausibly expected between late 2025 and mid-2026. Here's why:

1. Historical Release Cycle

  • Axe-Fx Standard & Ultra (2006-2011) → 5 years
  • Axe-Fx II (2011-2018) → 7 years
  • Axe-Fx III (2018 - present) → 7 years as of 2025
Since the Axe-Fx III was released in 2018, and its predecessors had lifespans between 5-7 years, 2025-2026 aligns with a realistic window for a next-generation model.

2. Product Support & Firmware Updates

  • Fractal Audio continues to provide significant firmware updates to the Axe-Fx III, suggesting they are still extending its lifecycle rather than rushing a replacement.
  • However, past trends show that major firmware enhancements often precede a new hardware release.

3. Market Competition & Technological Advances

  • Neural DSP Quad Cortex, Kemper's continued evolution, and Line 6's Helix updates may push Fractal Audio to innovate sooner.
  • Hardware advancements in DSP processing and AI-driven modeling could be a key driver for a new unit.

4. Fractal's Business Strategy

  • Fractal does not rush releases; they focus on stability and quality rather than yearly product cycles.
  • The VP4 Virtual Pedalboard (2024) suggests Fractal is still exploring expanding their ecosystem, which might delay a full flagship revamp.

Prediction: Most Likely Release Period

🔵 Late 2025 - Mid 2026
🔹 If Fractal follows its 7-year cycle, expect an announcement in Q4 2025, with availability in early to mid-2026.
🔹 If competition accelerates their timeline, a surprise launch in late 2025 is possible.


If Fractal Audio releases an Axe-Fx IV between late 2025 and mid-2026, we can expect it to introduce several technological advancements based on current trends in digital amp modeling and audio processing. Here’s a breakdown of the most plausible new features:



1. DSP

🔹 More Powerful Dual DSP Processors
  • The Axe-Fx III uses dual SHARC+ DSPs, but with DSP advancements in AI-driven processing, we could see quad-core DSP or AI-assisted modeling to compete with Neural DSP's machine learning-based Quad Cortex.
  • This could lead to ultra-fast amp profiling, even more accurate real-time dynamics, and lower latency.
🔹 Neural Modeling & Machine Learning for Amp Capture
  • Fractal might introduce a competitor to Neural DSP’s “Capture” technology, allowing users to profile amps, cabs, and pedals with even greater realism.
  • Unlike traditional modeling, this would analyze and replicate real amps automatically using AI.

2. Expanded Polyphonic Pitch & Effects Engine

🔹 Enhanced Polyphonic Tracking
  • Faster, more responsive polyphonic pitch-shifting (like EHX's Pitch Fork but with no latency).
  • AI-assisted pitch tracking, allowing better tracking for extended-range instruments (7-9 string guitars).
🔹 New Effect Algorithms
  • Expect more accurate recreations of analog gear (stereo reverbs, analog delays, and complex modulation chains).
  • Real-time adaptive effects that adjust based on pick attack, similar to AI-assisted compressors and EQs.

3. Higher-Resolution I/O & USB Audio

🔹 32-bit / 192 kHz Audio Processing
  • Competing high-end modelers (Neural DSP, Kemper) are moving toward higher bit-depth audio, so Fractal could introduce 32-bit floating point processing for enhanced resolution and dynamic range.
🔹 Upgraded USB Audio Interface
  • More simultaneous USB channels (e.g., 16-32 I/O channels) for recording multiple wet/dry signals directly into a DAW.
  • Standalone DAW integration (like UA Apollo), making the Axe-Fx IV a full studio hub.

4. Seamless Integration with Virtual Pedalboards

🔹 Wireless MIDI & Bluetooth App Control
  • A dedicated Fractal Control App could allow full remote preset editing via Bluetooth.
  • Seamless VP4 integration, making Fractal's VP4 Virtual Pedalboard an essential add-on.
🔹 New FC Foot Controller with Color Touchscreen
  • A redesigned FC-12 or FC-6 with high-res color touchscreens, customizable for live performances.

5. AI-Assisted Tone Matching & Dynamic Presets

🔹 Advanced Tone Matching with Auto-Tweaking
  • AI-driven real-time EQ adaptation to match recorded tones instantly.
  • Dynamic Tone Matching that adjusts based on pickup type and volume knob settings.
🔹 Live Performance Preset Switching with AI Smoothing
  • No more gapless switching issues—AI could predict and pre-load the next scene for seamless transitions.

6. Future-Proof Hardware & Expandability

🔹 Upgradeable Modular Design
  • Replaceable DSP chips (like Line 6’s Helix rumored "Helix 2.0" concept) to extend lifespan.
  • External expansion slots for future firmware updates or added features.
🔹 More Compact but Sturdier Chassis
  • While maintaining high build quality, Fractal might shrink the form factor to make it more rack/desktop-friendly.

Final Prediction:

🚀 Axe-Fx IV could be the first Fractal unit to integrate AI-driven modeling, real-time neural capture, and adaptive tone shaping—all while refining their industry-leading amp modeling engine.
🔹 Most Likely Release Window: Late 2025 - Mid 2026
🔹 Expected Price Range: $2,500 - $3,000 (Premium market positioning)


And here is the mock up🤮:


View attachment 152182


I see a trend at an increase in the life cycle. It may turn out that the cycles go on the principle of +2-3 years to the new. So, 5 - 7 - 9-10 years. As one of the scenarios, you can assume 2027 - 2028.
 
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I asked ChatGPT, probably I don't understand everything, but here is the result:

Based on Fractal Audio's historical release patterns and their current product roadmap, a new flagship product (e.g., an Axe-Fx IV) is most plausibly expected between late 2025 and mid-2026. Here's why:

1. Historical Release Cycle

  • Axe-Fx Standard & Ultra (2006-2011) → 5 years
  • Axe-Fx II (2011-2018) → 7 years
  • Axe-Fx III (2018 - present) → 7 years as of 2025
Since the Axe-Fx III was released in 2018, and its predecessors had lifespans between 5-7 years, 2025-2026 aligns with a realistic window for a next-generation model.

2. Product Support & Firmware Updates

  • Fractal Audio continues to provide significant firmware updates to the Axe-Fx III, suggesting they are still extending its lifecycle rather than rushing a replacement.
  • However, past trends show that major firmware enhancements often precede a new hardware release.

3. Market Competition & Technological Advances

  • Neural DSP Quad Cortex, Kemper's continued evolution, and Line 6's Helix updates may push Fractal Audio to innovate sooner.
  • Hardware advancements in DSP processing and AI-driven modeling could be a key driver for a new unit.

4. Fractal's Business Strategy

  • Fractal does not rush releases; they focus on stability and quality rather than yearly product cycles.
  • The VP4 Virtual Pedalboard (2024) suggests Fractal is still exploring expanding their ecosystem, which might delay a full flagship revamp.

Prediction: Most Likely Release Period

🔵 Late 2025 - Mid 2026
🔹 If Fractal follows its 7-year cycle, expect an announcement in Q4 2025, with availability in early to mid-2026.
🔹 If competition accelerates their timeline, a surprise launch in late 2025 is possible.


If Fractal Audio releases an Axe-Fx IV between late 2025 and mid-2026, we can expect it to introduce several technological advancements based on current trends in digital amp modeling and audio processing. Here’s a breakdown of the most plausible new features:



1. DSP

🔹 More Powerful Dual DSP Processors
  • The Axe-Fx III uses dual SHARC+ DSPs, but with DSP advancements in AI-driven processing, we could see quad-core DSP or AI-assisted modeling to compete with Neural DSP's machine learning-based Quad Cortex.
  • This could lead to ultra-fast amp profiling, even more accurate real-time dynamics, and lower latency.
🔹 Neural Modeling & Machine Learning for Amp Capture
  • Fractal might introduce a competitor to Neural DSP’s “Capture” technology, allowing users to profile amps, cabs, and pedals with even greater realism.
  • Unlike traditional modeling, this would analyze and replicate real amps automatically using AI.

2. Expanded Polyphonic Pitch & Effects Engine

🔹 Enhanced Polyphonic Tracking
  • Faster, more responsive polyphonic pitch-shifting (like EHX's Pitch Fork but with no latency).
  • AI-assisted pitch tracking, allowing better tracking for extended-range instruments (7-9 string guitars).
🔹 New Effect Algorithms
  • Expect more accurate recreations of analog gear (stereo reverbs, analog delays, and complex modulation chains).
  • Real-time adaptive effects that adjust based on pick attack, similar to AI-assisted compressors and EQs.

3. Higher-Resolution I/O & USB Audio

🔹 32-bit / 192 kHz Audio Processing
  • Competing high-end modelers (Neural DSP, Kemper) are moving toward higher bit-depth audio, so Fractal could introduce 32-bit floating point processing for enhanced resolution and dynamic range.
🔹 Upgraded USB Audio Interface
  • More simultaneous USB channels (e.g., 16-32 I/O channels) for recording multiple wet/dry signals directly into a DAW.
  • Standalone DAW integration (like UA Apollo), making the Axe-Fx IV a full studio hub.

4. Seamless Integration with Virtual Pedalboards

🔹 Wireless MIDI & Bluetooth App Control
  • A dedicated Fractal Control App could allow full remote preset editing via Bluetooth.
  • Seamless VP4 integration, making Fractal's VP4 Virtual Pedalboard an essential add-on.
🔹 New FC Foot Controller with Color Touchscreen
  • A redesigned FC-12 or FC-6 with high-res color touchscreens, customizable for live performances.

5. AI-Assisted Tone Matching & Dynamic Presets

🔹 Advanced Tone Matching with Auto-Tweaking
  • AI-driven real-time EQ adaptation to match recorded tones instantly.
  • Dynamic Tone Matching that adjusts based on pickup type and volume knob settings.
🔹 Live Performance Preset Switching with AI Smoothing
  • No more gapless switching issues—AI could predict and pre-load the next scene for seamless transitions.

6. Future-Proof Hardware & Expandability

🔹 Upgradeable Modular Design
  • Replaceable DSP chips (like Line 6’s Helix rumored "Helix 2.0" concept) to extend lifespan.
  • External expansion slots for future firmware updates or added features.
🔹 More Compact but Sturdier Chassis
  • While maintaining high build quality, Fractal might shrink the form factor to make it more rack/desktop-friendly.

Final Prediction:

🚀 Axe-Fx IV could be the first Fractal unit to integrate AI-driven modeling, real-time neural capture, and adaptive tone shaping—all while refining their industry-leading amp modeling engine.
🔹 Most Likely Release Window: Late 2025 - Mid 2026
🔹 Expected Price Range: $2,500 - $3,000 (Premium market positioning)


And here is the mock up🤮:


View attachment 152182
Truly nauseating mockup. Looks like a car stereo I’d have in 2003
 
I predict that the second I move up from my FM3 to an Axe FX3 will be the day or week that the Axe FX4 will be released. And then the 3's will be heavily discounted and I won't be in a finacial position to sell my "new" week old unit to replace it with a "4".
That is how things seem to work in my World. My last car I bought brand new and the above happened. A new MK3 or 4 or whatever came out with newer LED lights, a facelift and better choices in paints...
I am just unlucky. :):rolleyes:



This is my thought process as well. Worse (or better lol) considering that I’ll be upgrading to the AxeFxIII. Like this or next week. Then I sell my FM3 and Blackstar MIDI foot switch.

And then the 4 gets released, the Axe goes on sale and it’ll turn out that I wouldn’t have needed to sell the FM3 at all, or could’ve snagged a Synergy Pitbull and a power amp….

I wouldn’t be mad mad but I’d be a little miffed hahaha
 
The man, the myth, legend and Master Cylinder (<--sounds good... but belittles Cliff)... hasn't chimed in here yet.

He's shot it down quickly in the past. All I really hear is the sound... solid beat... of a man, so in tune with his creation, company... work/life etc...

We're obviously closer today than the last time it was discussed.

Answer is simple:

Exactly!
 
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